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UFC FN151 Betting Tips & Plays

View the Stakes for UFC FN151 below:

Shane Burgos Free Breakdown
At 28 decades old, Burgos is coming into his prime as he takes on the veteran Cub Swanson. He will have a significant reach advantage of 5.5 inches and is overall a much larger featherweight. In the pocket Burgos is more technical with crisp mixes and dangerous power. He comes from a good camp but his principal weakness appears to be defense, where he’s left himself exposed to strikes and been hurt in several recent conflicts.
Swanson is a much more unorthadox and wild fighter and his personality looks to struggle against more specialized competition. He is on a significant losing streak where he’s looked vulnerable and flat in each struggle. It seems Cub is on a a downturn that’s not surprising given his era in a division where speed is king. It should be noted that most of Cub’s losses have come to top 10 opposition, but it’s his lack of competitiveness which raise a red flag.
This fight should be entertaining with the two men willing to stand and commerce. In the improbable event that Swanson can reignite his early career performances this could be a close fight, but we expect to see a falling veteran who can not keep up with the more technical youthful talent. Back Burgos for the win , likely from the distance.Brad Katona Breakdown
Katona, winner of TUF and the hometown fighter is taking on the relentless Merab Dvalishvili. Katona has considerably better striking than his opponent and retains a BJJ blackbelt. In his profession he hasn’t revealed the best initial takedown defense however he uses his grappling talents to continue being dangerous and create scrambles. Thus far he’s shown a strong ability to contact his feet. Dvalishvili is basic standing, largely throwing his looping right hand to set up level changes. He averages an absurd quantity of takedown efforts each struggle, compounded by the fact he struggles to keep top position for long periods.
In this fight it is possible Dvalishvili does property takedowns but Katona has lots of skills to avoid getting stuck onto his back. More time on the toes for Katona means he will maintain control, landing hurt and amassing rounds. This should be a close battle where the value lies with the local underdog.
Bet = Katona in 2.65 (+165) odds. Risk 2 Units to acquire 3.30 Units.
Nordine Taleb Breakdown
Kyle Prepolec is coming into this fight on short notice and united with the fact he’s fighting up a division his chances look slim. Taleb is a well rounded fighter who has a substantial advantage in every area of the battle. On the toes he’s defensively noise and fights long with his jab, straight punches and leg kicks to place the distance. Prepolec likes to get in close but leaves himself open when entering the pocket. His strikes are he ought to be receptive to counters in Taleb. Size will also be a big factor where Prepolec has shown a tendency to escape out in the grappling section by far smaller and less talented fighters compared to Taleb. This is likely his safest route to victory where he likely dominates to establish a finish. On short notice introduction there are simply too many barriers to overcome and whilst the chances are short, this looks to be a simple win.

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